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What YGCC is Reading #592
Meteorologists bet on ‘swing’ to warming El Niño weather cycle
Meteorologists are forecasting a possible return of the El Niño warming climate pattern later this year as the current La Niña cooling phase weakens. The World Meteorological Organization estimates about a 40% chance of El Niño between May and July, rising to 59% between August and October, though predictions remain uncertain due to seasonal forecasting limitations. El Niño and La Niña are natural climate cycles that influence global weather patterns such as rainfall, storms, and temperature changes. The previous 2023–2024 El Niño contributed to record global temperatures, and although La Niña provided slight cooling afterward, 2025 still ranked among the warmest years on record. Scientists are continuing to monitor these cycles closely, especially as climate change may be making them more intense, since accurate forecasts help sectors like agriculture, energy, and disaster management prepare for potential impacts.
Questions:
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How could a new El Niño event affect global weather and agriculture?
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Could climate change be intensifying natural weather cycles like El Niño and La Niña?
Image adapted from Financial Times.